Total signals
984
984 resolved
Touch rate
83.5%
high reached +0.45% · n=991
Strict win rate
42.4%
414W · 563L (TP-vs-SL tie → SL)
Expectancy
-0.39%
avg PnL/signal under strict model
Two ways to read the win rate
Both are honest. They answer different questions.
Touch rate · 83.5%
Of all signals, what fraction had next-day high reach +0.45% at any point?
This is what you capture if you watch the morning session and pull the trigger the moment +0.45% prints. It's the strategy author's claim ("85–90% chance").
Strict win rate · 42.4%
Of resolved signals, what fraction hit +0.45% TP before −1% SL on the next bar?
Daily OHLC hides the intraday path — when both TP and SL are reachable in the same bar, we conservatively assume SL fired first. Worst case for an inattentive trader.
| Period | N | Touch | Strict |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 16 | 75% | 31% |
| 2026-10 | 29 | 79% | 34% |
| 2026-09 | 32 | 78% | 45% |
| 2026-08 | 33 | 85% | 34% |
| 2026-07 | 34 | 82% | 29% |
| 2026-06 | 40 | 73% | 43% |
| 2026-05 | 33 | 94% | 58% |
| 2026-04 | 26 | 69% | 35% |
| 2026-03 | 29 | 76% | 38% |
| 2026-02 | 15 | 87% | 40% |
| 2026-01 | 37 | 95% | 50% |
| 2025-12 | 54 | 74% | 40% |
| 2025-11 | 27 | 85% | 63% |
| 2025-10 | 44 | 89% | 36% |
| 2025-09 | 43 | 84% | 51% |
| 2025-08 | 33 | 85% | 67% |
| 2025-07 | 20 | 95% | 30% |
| 2025-06 | 54 | 78% | 43% |
| 2025-05 | 22 | 95% | 27% |
| 2025-04 | 31 | 94% | 45% |
| 2025-03 | 25 | 88% | 48% |
| 2025-02 | 36 | 81% | 31% |
| 2025-01 | 43 | 77% | 57% |
| 2024-12 | 36 | 100% | 56% |
By ticker
Sample size first; only sym with ≥3 resolved trades count toward best/worst.
| Ticker | Signals | Touch | Strict win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| BIMAS | 23 | 100% | 65% |
| TCELL | 21 | 76% | 43% |
| NUHCM | 20 | 80% | 47% |
| CIMSA | 18 | 83% | 33% |
| TTKOM | 18 | 94% | 67% |
| NTHOL | 17 | 65% | 35% |
| YKBNK | 17 | 65% | 41% |
| BIOEN | 17 | 82% | 29% |
| CCOLA | 17 | 88% | 59% |
| ISMEN | 17 | 76% | 35% |
| FROTO | 16 | 81% | 50% |
| KCHOL | 16 | 69% | 25% |
| GARAN | 16 | 94% | 44% |
| TURSG | 16 | 88% | 25% |
| TAVHL | 16 | 94% | 44% |
| EGEEN | 15 | 73% | 20% |
| PGSUS | 15 | 80% | 64% |
| DOHOL | 15 | 93% | 60% |
| KAREL | 14 | 93% | 21% |
| SASA | 14 | 86% | 50% |
| BRISA | 14 | 86% | 43% |
| DOAS | 14 | 79% | 57% |
| VESBE | 14 | 86% | 23% |
| ENKAI | 14 | 71% | 50% |
| GUBRF | 14 | 93% | 36% |
| SMRTG | 14 | 79% | 57% |
| TMSN | 13 | 85% | 54% |
| TSKB | 13 | 85% | 31% |
| HALKB | 13 | 100% | 46% |
| ARCLK | 13 | 62% | 8% |
Recent signals (latest 50)
- @ 10,43-1.00%
- @ 67,50-1.00%
- @ 100,00+0.45%
- @ 372,50+0.45%
- @ 68,65-1.00%
- @ 11,09-1.00%
- @ 4,72-1.00%
- @ 203,00-1.00%
- @ 86,20-1.00%
- @ 1,65-1.00%
- @ 48,26+0.45%
- @ 31,50+0.45%
- @ 129,30-1.00%
- @ 35,08+0.45%
- @ 9,37-1.00%
- @ 35,64-1.00%
- @ 11.652,50+0.45%
- @ 22,00-1.00%
- @ 646,00-1.00%
- @ 113,20-1.00%
- @ 39,60-1.00%
- @ 68,30-1.00%
- @ 10,30-1.00%
- @ 44,32+0.45%
- @ 55,55-1.00%
- @ 2,49-1.00%
- @ 411,25-1.00%
- @ 13,05+0.45%
- @ 36,42-1.00%
- @ 37,32+0.45%
- @ 37,70-1.00%
- @ 58,20-1.00%
- @ 130,40+0.45%
- @ 214,90-1.00%
- @ 45,02-1.00%
- @ 100,50+0.45%
- @ 53,65-1.00%
- @ 35,90+0.45%
- @ 57,15-1.00%
- @ 370,00-1.00%
- @ 670,50+0.45%
- @ 108,70-1.00%
- @ 11,20+0.45%
- @ 309,50+0.45%
- @ 33,92-1.00%
- @ 2,56-1.00%
- @ 78,60-1.00%
- @ 36,00-1.00%
- @ 5.670,00-1.00%
- @ 23,00-1.00%